Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
COM
5 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
UTC
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |