Comercial vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
CAP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
COM
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
VOT
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
COM
26%
26%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |