Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 1-2
Comercial MS vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SIN
2 - 3
COM
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
COM
2 - 3
ANA
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COM
1 - 3
CEI
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ANA
2 - 0
CEI
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 0
SIN
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COM
1 - 3
CEI
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 1
CEI
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |