FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 1-2
Colwyn Bay vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
HED
0 - 2
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COL
3 - 5
OXF
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COL
3 - 2
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
WAR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 3
WAR
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 0
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BAM
3 - 1
WAR
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |