Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 1
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
RPO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
COQ
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
RPO
1 - 1
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
CON
0 - 3
COL
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |