Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Colo-Colo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 3
COL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
IQU
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
COL
5 - 1
OHI
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 2
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PEÑ
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UCO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |