Colo-Colo vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
COL
0 - 0
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 3
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
PAL
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
USF
0 - 1
COL
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
COL
2 - 0
EVE
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MIR
1 - 1
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 3
RAC
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
FLU
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRB
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |