Baiano 1 . Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Colo Colo BA vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 4
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |