Colney Heath vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
76.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
FCR
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 5
BAS
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 3
BFC
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AYL
2 - 0
COL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
HER
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BED
3 - 0
KID
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BED
3 - 0
THA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BED
5 - 0
CAM
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCR
0 - 1
BED
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BED
1 - 0
STN
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |