Asunción A vs Llanera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 3
CAS
28%
20%
52%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
UAS
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BOA
4 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOA
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UAS
6 - 0
CAS
50%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Llanera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UAS
2 - 1
LLA
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
AGJ
76%
13%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAM
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
3 - 3
LLA
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 6
LAD
32%
20%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |