Colchester United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 3
GRI
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
PLY
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 1
COL
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
LEY
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
CUM
0 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |