Colchester United vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 3
LEY
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STO
1 - 0
COL
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
IPS
0 - 1
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FUL
3 - 2
BRE
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 0
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
BET
23%
25%
51%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
BHA
0 - 1
BRE
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |