Copa Simón Bolívar . Last 16
Global 3-2
Cochabamba vs Stormers San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cochabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
COC
3 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
COC
8%
14%
79%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
HAP
3 - 4
COC
79%
12%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
1 - 1
COC
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COC
2 - 1
HAP
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Stormers San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SSL
6 - 2
HUA
6%
15%
79%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
HUA
3 - 1
SSL
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ROS
1 - 2
SSL
10%
14%
76%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 7
SSL
7%
12%
81%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CSR
5 - 2
SSL
7%
13%
81%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -2 |