Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
14º
12º
37
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MBE
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GGF
1 - 0
COA
55%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
RUV
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
COA
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania Prisons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
TAN
42%
31%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 2
IFC
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
AZA
3 - 0
TAN
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SIM
7 - 1
TAN
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |