12 de Octubre vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
LIB
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 2
12O
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
12O
2 - 4
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 3
GUA
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GEN
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
RÑU
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -2 |