12 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 1
12O
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
RPA
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLI
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |