Mercedes vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
9º
6º
25
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 0
MER
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 3
MUÑ
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 4
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
DPA
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
ARR
58%
22%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 1
SBA
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 0
DPA
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 3
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 1
SBA
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |