Marino de Luanco vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
LEM
3 - 2
MAR
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MAR
4 - 2
PON
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ZAM
7 - 3
MAR
79%
12%
9%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
MAR
1 - 2
SMA
60%
19%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAR
1 - 4
JUV
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ARO
0 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
LUG
3 - 1
ARO
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ARO
3 - 0
LEO
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TUR
3 - 2
ARO
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ARO
5 - 0
SAN
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |