Independiente vs Mariscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
IBE
2 - 0
CIP
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
JWI
2 - 1
CIP
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CIP
3 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
STR
2 - 2
CIP
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CIP
1 - 1
BLO
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
JWI
2 - 1
MBB
68%
18%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
MBB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MBB
2 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 0
MBB
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
IBE
2 - 0
MBB
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |