La Merced Salta vs Villa San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Merced Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LMS
1 - 4
GYT
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LMS
6 - 4
CAP
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LMS
2 - 2
JAN
18%
24%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LSC
1 - 3
LMS
11%
16%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
LMS
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
JAN
3 - 1
VSA
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VSA
1 - 1
RDP
63%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JUT
0 - 1
VSA
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
VSA
2 - 1
GYT
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RDP
1 - 0
VSA
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |