Catoira vs USD O Grove analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catoira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
10 - 1
BAM
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
LIB
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AND
4 - 4
CAT
36%
21%
43%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DEI
5 - 1
CAT
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
USD O Grove
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USD
1 - 2
VIL
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAM
2 - 7
USD
44%
20%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
USD
1 - 9
FAX
5%
10%
85%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 0
USD
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
USD
2 - 3
CHI
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |