Aurora vs Real Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BLO
1 - 2
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
AUR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
JWI
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RPO
1 - 0
SBW
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
RPO
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BLO
2 - 0
RPO
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RPO
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
RPO
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |