AD Ceuta FC B vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
15º
9º
45
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AYA
1 - 0
CAC
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
SEV
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
CAC
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
CDG
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 0
CAC
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDL
0 - 1
CDA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CDL
3 - 0
AYA
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
CDL
19%
24%
58%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 2
SEV
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CDL
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |