Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
CER
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUV
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 5
PEÑ
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |