Cerro CA vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
DEF
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CER
1 - 1
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
PRO
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEN
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |