Cerro CA vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
CER
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ETS
2 - 1
CER
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
DAN
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 2
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |