Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
10º
3º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
6 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 3
QUE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 3
CLI
13%
19%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |