Cleveland SC vs Erie Commodores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cleveland SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FMA
3 - 0
CLE
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 1
CFC
48%
22%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CLE
3 - 4
DDF
48%
23%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 2
CLE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 2
CLE
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erie Commodores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ECO
0 - 2
BUF
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ECO
0 - 0
CLE
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ECO
1 - 1
BUF
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
SYR
0 - 0
ECO
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RLU
2 - 5
ECO
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |