Clapton vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
77%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clapton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 0
NOR
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 1
CLA
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
CLA
54%
21%
25%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LON
1 - 3
CLA
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CLA
2 - 6
AVE
9%
15%
77%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
NEE
0 - 3
BRI
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 2
NEE
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEE
0 - 1
WIN
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
NEE
2 - 1
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
NEE
37%
23%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |