Cjarlins Muzane vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
8º
34
2º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 3
CJA
17%
20%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CJA
0 - 1
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 1
CJA
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CJA
3 - 1
MON
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CJA
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEG
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACE
2 - 0
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
MES
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |