Ciudad de Lucena vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CRD
1 - 0
CDL
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 1
CDL
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 2
XER
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 1
UTR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 1
CDL
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
CAC
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 2
REC
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
REC
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SRQ
1 - 1
REC
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AYA
0 - 1
REC
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |