Cittanova vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
CCI
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CIT
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 0
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 0
CCI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
1 - 1
ROT
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
CIT
14%
23%
63%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 2
CSA
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 2
ROC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 2
REN
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |