Serie D. Group I, Matchday 34

Cittanova vs Santa Maria Cilento analysis

Cittanova Santa Maria Cilento
43 ELO 45
-5% Tilt -28%
36393º General ELO ranking 5623º
1164º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
50.8%
Cittanova
28.4%
Draw
20.8%
Santa Maria Cilento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
Cittanova
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
20.8%
Win probability
Santa Maria Cilento
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cittanova
+9%
+11%
Santa Maria Cilento

Points and table prediction

Cittanova
Their league position
Santa Maria Cilento
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
15º
13º
45
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ACR Messina
74
74
100%
FC Messina
72
72
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
San Luca
58
58
100%
Acireale
57
57
100%
Dattilo
52
52
100%
Rotonda
49
49
100%
Biancavilla
47
47
100%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
45
100%
Licata
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Castrovillari
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Paternò
12º
39
39
12º
50%
Cittanova
13º
39
39
13º
50%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Troina
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Rende
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Roccella
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cittanova
Santa Maria Cilento
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
50% 100%
Relegation playoffs
50% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cittanova
CCI
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
Real Agro Aversa
RAA
Gelbison
GEL
San Luca
LUC
FC Messina
CIT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cittanova
Cittanova
1%
X%
2%
ELO CCI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2021
CCI
Cittanova
0 - 1
Dattilo
DAT
46%
27%
28%
252 295 -43 0
23 May. 2021
PAT
Paternò
2 - 1
Cittanova
CCI
57%
24%
19%
252 700 448 -1
16 May. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
2 - 0
Cittanova
CCI
46%
27%
27%
254 248 -6 -2
09 May. 2021
CCI
Cittanova
2 - 1
Roccella
ROC
47%
27%
26%
252 208 44 +1
18 Apr. 2021
GEL
Gelbison
2 - 1
Cittanova
CCI
46%
27%
28%
254 200 -54 -2

Matches

Santa Maria Cilento
Santa Maria Cilento
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
2 - 0
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
CSA
45%
27%
28%
301 284 17 0
06 Jun. 2021
MDR
Marina di Ragusa
1 - 0
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
46%
27%
28%
301 267 -34 0
02 Jun. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
3 - 0
Rende
REN
47%
27%
26%
301 267 34 0
30 May. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
1 - 1
Licata
LIC
41%
28%
31%
301 432 -131 0
09 May. 2021
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 0
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
48%
27%
25%
301 386 85 0