FC Messina vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
CIT
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CIT
3 - 0
BIA
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACC
0 - 1
CIT
22%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LIC
0 - 0
CIT
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HYR
2 - 0
LIC
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
HYR
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HYR
2 - 0
CCI
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
HYR
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HYR
0 - 1
MDR
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |