Cirencester Town vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CIR
3 - 1
BIS
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CIR
3 - 0
AFT
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
CIR
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
YAT
2 - 2
CIR
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 3
CIR
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 1
BRI
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
4 - 1
WIM
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
BID
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
YAT
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 2
BRI
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |