Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . Last 16
Global 1-1
Circulo Deportivo vs Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
CDC
22%
22%
57%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 0
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
CDC
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 0
HIN
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HIN
1 - 0
CDC
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
CDC
22%
22%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
FRR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FRR
0 - 0
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
BSR
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BSR
2 - 2
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |