Cinderford Town vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
19º
19º
42
14º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinderford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
CIN
27%
23%
51%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EXM
2 - 1
CIN
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
3 - 2
WUN
53%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LYM
1 - 2
CIN
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CIN
0 - 1
THA
43%
24%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
BIS
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
GOS
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHO
3 - 2
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
BID
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
FRO
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |