Non League Div One Southern South. Jor. 3

Cinderford Town vs Bideford analysis

Cinderford Town Bideford
18 ELO 20
8.6% Tilt 7.8%
11470º General ELO ranking 8686º
728º Country ELO ranking 466º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Cinderford Town
22.5%
Draw
32.8%
Bideford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
Cinderford Town
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.8%
Win probability
Bideford
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cinderford Town
+12%
-34%
Bideford

Points and table prediction

Cinderford Town
Their league position
Bideford
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
19º
19º
42
11º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Totton
88
88
100%
Sholing
81
81
100%
Hamworthy United
74
74
100%
Evesham United
60
60
0%
Wimborne Town
60
60
0%
Tavistock
58
58
100%
Bashley
55
55
100%
Frome Town
54
54
100%
Bishop's Cleeve
52
52
100%
Westbury United
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Larkhall Athletic
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Melksham Town
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Paulton Rovers
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Exmouth Town
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Willand Rovers
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Lymington Town
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Bideford
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Bristol Manor Farm
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Cinderford Town
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Slimbridge
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cinderford Town
Bideford
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Cinderford Town
Bideford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cinderford Town
Cinderford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2022
CHI
Chipping Sodbury Town
0 - 5
Cinderford Town
CIN
17%
18%
66%
18 12 6 0
20 Aug. 2022
CIN
Cinderford Town
0 - 0
Chipping Sodbury Town
CHI
72%
16%
13%
18 11 7 0
16 Aug. 2022
CIN
Cinderford Town
2 - 1
Slimbridge
SLI
43%
23%
35%
18 20 2 0
13 Aug. 2022
WIM
Wimborne Town
3 - 1
Cinderford Town
CIN
43%
23%
34%
19 18 1 -1
06 Aug. 2022
BIT
Bitton
1 - 3
Cinderford Town
CIN
51%
21%
28%
18 22 4 +1

Matches

Bideford
Bideford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
PAU
Paulton Rovers
5 - 2
Bideford
BID
52%
23%
25%
21 22 1 0
16 Aug. 2022
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
0 - 0
Bideford
BID
69%
18%
13%
21 31 10 0
13 Aug. 2022
BID
Bideford
1 - 2
Hamworthy United
HAM
12%
17%
71%
22 39 17 -1
06 Aug. 2022
BID
Bideford
1 - 0
Bridgwater Town
BRI
51%
25%
24%
21 18 3 +1
23 Apr. 2022
BID
Bideford
4 - 0
Mangotsfield United
MAN
58%
22%
20%
21 16 5 0
X