Cimarrones II vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
5º
17
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 0
NAY
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
4 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
HDZ
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 0
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |