Cimarrones II vs Coras de Nayarit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
5º
13
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
4 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LCU
1 - 4
CSI
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Coras de Nayarit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 1
HDZ
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 0
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
NAY
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |