Universitario vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHO
41%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 2
COS
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 1
CHO
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
ARA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 1
SFF
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
AFC
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
COS
0 - 0
SFF
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |