Chorley vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CHO
1 - 4
WOS
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 1
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
CHO
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CHO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
KEN
3 - 1
WAR
70%
18%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
WAR
3 - 2
KID
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
EAS
3 - 3
WAR
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
WAR
2 - 2
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
WAR
3 - 0
BRI
41%
25%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |