Choco vs Dubra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 0
CHO
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
CDC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALO
0 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dubra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DUB
1 - 2
BOU
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
DUB
77%
16%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DUB
3 - 0
ORD
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 1
DUB
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DUB
0 - 3
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |