Choco vs CD Velle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALL
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
CHO
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 4
PON
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Velle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
VEL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
VEL
55%
23%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 2
ALE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
VEL
65%
20%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |