China vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CHN
3 - 0
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 1
JOR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CHN
3 - 1
KWT
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 3
MLI
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
0 - 0
MKD
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
KOR
2 - 0
PRY
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PRY
0 - 0
ARE
69%
19%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
PRY
64%
22%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CMR
1 - 2
PRY
35%
27%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
PRY
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |