China vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
GUM
0 - 7
CHN
6%
16%
78%
|
81 | 24 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
11%
20%
70%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 2
JPN
25%
25%
51%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
SYR
2 - 1
CHN
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SYR
1 - 0
PHL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MDV
1 - 2
PHL
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PHL
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
GUM
1 - 4
PHL
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
PHL
2 - 5
SYR
14%
19%
68%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |