Nuevo Chimalhuacán vs Zitacuaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
YFC
1 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
TUT
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
ISL
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 0
SAT
27%
25%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +5 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CUA
3 - 1
CHI
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
ZIT
2 - 1
CUA
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 2
ZIT
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
YFC
4 - 1
ZIT
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ZIT
0 - 2
TUT
29%
27%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 2
ZIT
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |