Chihuahua FC vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
1º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chihuahua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
CFC
16%
22%
63%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CFC
32%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LCU
2 - 0
CFC
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
NAY
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |