Chievo vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HOF
2 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
CTT
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 3
AVI
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 4
ACD
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAP
5 - 0
ACD
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |