Chievo vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 2
CHI
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 1
EMP
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
ARI
1 - 1
PRG
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 0
ARI
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |